Meta-analysis · Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol 2024
CTT 2024 diabetes
Effects of statin therapy on diagnoses of new-onset diabetes and worsening glycaemia in large-scale randomised blinded statin trials: an individual participant data meta-analysis.
The bottom line
Statins cause a modest, dose-dependent increase in new-onset diabetes and worsening glycaemia, driven by small upward shifts in glucose/HbA1c, but this risk is already outweighed by the overall cardiovascular benefit of statin therapy.
Adverse-effect signal (small)US status: Not applicable
At a glance
- Medicine
- Statin therapy (low-intensity/moderate-intensity or high-intensity)
- Compared with
- Placebo (19 trials) or less intensive statin therapy (4 trials)
- People
- 154,664
- Who took part
- Participants in large, long-term, double-blind statin trials of at least 2 years' scheduled duration and at least 1000 participants; 19 trials statin vs placebo (123 940 participants, 25 701 [21%] with diabetes) and 4 trials more vs less intensive statin therapy (30 724 participants, 5340 [17%] with diabetes)
- Design
- Individual participant data meta-analysis of double-blind randomised controlled trials of statin therapy (CTT Collaboration)
- Follow-up
- Median follow-up of 4·3 years (placebo-controlled trials) and 4·9 years (more vs less intensive trials)
- Main question
- New-onset diabetes (defined by diabetes-related adverse events, use of new glucose-lowering medications, glucose concentrations, or HbA1c values) and worsening glycaemia in people with diabetes (defined by complications of glucose control, increased use of glucose-lowering medication, or HbA1c increase of ≥0·5%)
Main result
Compared with placebo, allocation to low-intensity or moderate-intensity statin therapy resulted in a 10% proportional increase in new-onset diabetes (2420 of 39 179 participants assigned to receive a statin [1·3% per year] vs 2214 of 39 266 participants assigned to receive placebo [1·2% per year]; rate ratio [RR] 1·10, 95% CI 1·04-1·16), and allocation to high-intensity statin therapy resulted in a 36% proportional increase (1221 of 9935 participants assigned to receive a statin [4·8% per year] vs 905 of 9859 participants assigned to receive placebo [3·5% per year]; 1·36, 1·25-1·48)
Effect on LDL cholesterol
Not reported in abstract; glucose increased by 0·04 mmol/L with both low-intensity or moderate-intensity (95% CI 0·03-0·05) and high-intensity statins (0·02-0·06); mean HbA1c increased by 0·06% (0·00-0·12) with low-intensity or moderate-intensity statins and 0·08% (0·07-0·09) with high-intensity statins
Other results
Among participants with baseline diabetes, the RRs for worsening glycaemia were 1·10 (1·06-1·14) for low-intensity or moderate-intensity statin therapy and 1·24 (1·06-1·44) for high-intensity statin therapy compared with placebo
Safety
Statins cause a moderate dose-dependent increase in new diagnoses of diabetes that is consistent with a small upwards shift in glycaemia, with the majority of new diagnoses of diabetes occurring in people with baseline glycaemic markers that are close to the diagnostic threshold for diabetes; any theoretical adverse effects of statins on cardiovascular risk that might arise from these small increases in glycaemia are already accounted for in the overall reduction in cardiovascular risk seen with statin therapy
In the trial's own words
“Compared with placebo, allocation to low-intensity or moderate-intensity statin therapy resulted in a 10% proportional increase in new-onset diabetes (2420 of 39 179 participants assigned to receive a statin [1·3% per year] vs 2214 of 39 266 participants assigned to receive placebo [1·2% per year]; rate ratio [RR] 1·10, 95% CI 1·04-1·16), and allocation to high-intensity statin therapy resulted in a 36% proportional increase (1221 of 9935 participants assigned to receive a statin [4·8% per year] vs 905 of 9859 participants assigned to receive placebo [3·5% per year]; 1·36, 1·25-1·48).”
Quoted from the abstract of Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol 2024, checked word for word against PubMed. PubMed 38554713 · Full paper (DOI)
Common questions
What did the CTT 2024 diabetes trial find?
Statins cause a modest, dose-dependent increase in new-onset diabetes and worsening glycaemia, driven by small upward shifts in glucose/HbA1c, but this risk is already outweighed by the overall cardiovascular benefit of statin therapy.
Who was in CTT 2024 diabetes?
154,664 people. Participants in large, long-term, double-blind statin trials of at least 2 years' scheduled duration and at least 1000 participants; 19 trials statin vs placebo (123 940 participants, 25 701 [21%] with diabetes) and 4 trials more vs less intensive statin therapy (30 724 participants, 5340 [17%] with diabetes).
What was CTT 2024 diabetes's main result?
Compared with placebo, allocation to low-intensity or moderate-intensity statin therapy resulted in a 10% proportional increase in new-onset diabetes (2420 of 39 179 participants assigned to receive a statin [1·3% per year] vs 2214 of 39 266 participants assigned to receive placebo [1·2% per year]; rate ratio [RR] 1·10, 95% CI 1·04-1·16), and allocation to high-intensity statin therapy resulted in a 36% proportional increase (1221 of 9935 participants assigned to receive a statin [4·8% per year] vs 905 of 9859 participants assigned to receive placebo [3·5% per year]; 1·36, 1·25-1·48)
How much did LDL cholesterol change in CTT 2024 diabetes?
Not reported in abstract; glucose increased by 0·04 mmol/L with both low-intensity or moderate-intensity (95% CI 0·03-0·05) and high-intensity statins (0·02-0·06); mean HbA1c increased by 0·06% (0·00-0·12) with low-intensity or moderate-intensity statins and 0·08% (0·07-0·09) with high-intensity statins
Related trials
- CTT 2022 muscle (2022)Statins cause a small, mostly mild excess of muscle pain primarily in the first year of treatment, with over 90% of muscle symptom reports in statin users not actually due to the statin, and this risk is far outweighed by cardiovascular benefits.
- PCSK9 vs statin monotherapy meta-analysis (2026)In patients who cannot tolerate statins, PCSK9 inhibitor monotherapy lowers LDL-C, ApoB, and raises HDL-C more than high-intensity statin monotherapy, though it is less effective at lowering triglycerides.
- PCSK9/ezetimibe diabetes meta-analysis (2020)Neither PCSK9 inhibitors nor ezetimibe increase the risk of new-onset diabetes when added to guideline-directed medical therapy.
- CTT 2019 older people (2019)Statins reduce major vascular events across all age groups including older people, though the evidence for benefit beyond age 75 without pre-existing vascular disease is less direct and being addressed by further trials.
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