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Genetic study · N Engl J Med 2016

Ference 2016

Variation in PCSK9 and HMGCR and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease and Diabetes.

The bottom line

Genetic mimicry shows that lowering LDL cholesterol via PCSK9 variants protects against cardiovascular events about as much as HMGCR (statin-target) variants, but both are linked to a smaller, additive increase in diabetes risk.

Supports LDL causalityUS status: Not applicable

At a glance

Medicine
Genetic score of LDL-lowering alleles in PCSK9 (and HMGCR) used as proxy for pharmacologic PCSK9 inhibition (and statin therapy)
Compared with
PCSK9 variants vs HMGCR variants (Mendelian randomization comparison); also combined vs individual gene scores
People
112,772
Who took part
112,772 participants from 14 studies, with 14,120 cardiovascular events and 10,635 cases of diabetes, grouped by number of LDL cholesterol-lowering alleles inherited in PCSK9 and HMGCR genes
Design
Mendelian randomization using genetic scores of independently inherited PCSK9 and HMGCR variants to randomly assign participants according to number of LDL-lowering alleles inherited, across 14 studies
Follow-up
Main question
Risk of cardiovascular events (and risk of diabetes) associated with LDL cholesterol-lowering genetic variants in PCSK9 and HMGCR

Main result

Odds ratio for cardiovascular events per 10 mg/dl decrease in LDL cholesterol: 0.81 (95% CI, 0.74 to 0.89) for PCSK9 and 0.81 (95% CI, 0.72 to 0.90) for HMGCR

Effect on LDL cholesterol

Analyzed per 10 mg/dl (0.26 mmol/liter) decrease in LDL cholesterol level

Other results

Diabetes risk: odds ratio per 10 mg/dl decrease in LDL cholesterol, 1.11 (95% CI, 1.04 to 1.19) for PCSK9 and 1.13 (95% CI, 1.06 to 1.20) for HMGCR; increased risk of diabetes was limited to persons with impaired fasting glucose levels for both scores and was lower in magnitude than the protective effect against cardiovascular events; when present together, PCSK9 and HMGCR variants had additive effects on the risk of both cardiovascular events and diabetes.

In the trial's own words

“Variants in PCSK9 and HMGCR were associated with nearly identical protective effects on the risk of cardiovascular events per decrease of 10 mg per deciliter (0.26 mmol per liter) in the LDL cholesterol level: odds ratio for cardiovascular events, 0.81 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.74 to 0.89) for PCSK9 and 0.81 (95% CI, 0.72 to 0.90) for HMGCR. Variants in these two genes were also associated with very similar effects on the risk of diabetes: odds ratio for each 10 mg per deciliter decrease in LDL cholesterol, 1.11 (95% CI, 1.04 to 1.19) for PCSK9 and 1.13 (95% CI, 1.06 to 1.20) for HMGCR.”

Quoted from the abstract of N Engl J Med 2016, checked word for word against PubMed. PubMed 27959767 · Full paper (DOI)

Common questions

What did the Ference 2016 trial find?

Genetic mimicry shows that lowering LDL cholesterol via PCSK9 variants protects against cardiovascular events about as much as HMGCR (statin-target) variants, but both are linked to a smaller, additive increase in diabetes risk.

Who was in Ference 2016?

112,772 people. 112,772 participants from 14 studies, with 14,120 cardiovascular events and 10,635 cases of diabetes, grouped by number of LDL cholesterol-lowering alleles inherited in PCSK9 and HMGCR genes.

What was Ference 2016's main result?

Odds ratio for cardiovascular events per 10 mg/dl decrease in LDL cholesterol: 0.81 (95% CI, 0.74 to 0.89) for PCSK9 and 0.81 (95% CI, 0.72 to 0.90) for HMGCR

How much did LDL cholesterol change in Ference 2016?

Analyzed per 10 mg/dl (0.26 mmol/liter) decrease in LDL cholesterol level

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